The report that was prepared by the Official Accident
Investigation Board concluded on the fate of the F-89:
"The aircraft probably crashed in the Canadian waters
of Lake Superior just prior to or at the time of interception."
It was probably not possible for the investigation
board to reach a more definitive conclusion due to the simple fact that no
trace of the F-89 or its crew were found during the search of the lake and
shoreline.
Given that the F-89's IFF signal was lost at the time
the radar return from the F-89 was observed to merge with the return from
the return from the unidentified aircraft, it does seem
the most likely reason for
the loss of both signals and the loss of radio communications would be
that the F-89 crashed into the lake at this moment.
If the F-89 had crashed into the lake surface, it would
probably have broken up with little intact wreckage. Only small pieces of
floatable debris would remain on the surface along with fuel, oil and
hydraulic fluid slicks. The fuel would soon evaporate and perhaps the oil
slick would break up due to the action of waves and surface currents.
Visibility was impaired by poor weather during the first day of the
search. Under such search conditions, it is possible that it was not
possible to locate the remnants from the crash.
Theoretically, it might still be possible to locate
metal fragments from the F-89 at the bottom of Lake Superior by using a
deep water submersible equipped with side scan sonar imaging to search the
lake bed beneath the hypothetical
crash site. Until such a search is made, it cannot be definitively
concluded that the F-89 did crash at this site.
Without positive confirmation of the location of the
F-89 wreckage, there will always be questions about what the real fate was
of the jet and crew.